After almost two weeks of cross attacks, bombings on Iranian nuclear facilitiesmissile launch in the heart of Tehran and serious threats of revenge, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, has announced in a message posted on social networks that Iran and Israel would have reached a “high total fire” agreement that will last twelve hourswhich will begin six hours after the announcement, as the Republican has pointed out in Truth Social. But it will not be a simple truce in the Middle East, because the White House tenant has assured that, if everything takes place as planned, at the end of that period, “the war will be terminated.”
The announcement of this high fire between Iran and Israel occurs after the Iranian regime responded to the United States attack on its nuclear facilities with the launch of 14 missiles on the American Air Basein Qatar, which according to the Pentagon have not been dangerous: thirteen were intercepted and the one that remains has not caused any damage. Trump himself He revealed that Tehran had warned the US In advance through diplomatic channels, a fact that allowed them to avoid possible victims: “I want to thank Iran for letting us know, which has facilitated that lives were not lost and that no one was injured.” The US president described the attack as a “very weak response” and urged, once the attack was consummated, that “Iran can now move towards peace in the region and encourage Israel to do the same.”
Hours later, Trump announced the “high total fire” between Iran and Israel with a message on his social network, full of exclamations, written in capital letters (faithful to his style) and with a good dose of triumphant tone. This is a war, the US president has underlined, “that he could have lasted for years and destroyed all the Middle East, but he has not done so, and will never do it!” The message concludes with his usual patriotic rhetoric: “God bless Israel, God bless Iran, God bless Middle East, God bless the United States of America and God bless the world!”
Diplomatic sources have assured the agency Reuters That the Catarí Prime Minister, Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman to the Thani, has played a decisive role to get Iran to accept the high fire, after a direct call with high positions of Tehran. However, for now, there has not been an official response or the Iranian regime or the Israel government. According to Variso Israeli Media, Prime Minister Benjamín Netanyahu has ordered his ministers not to make public statements and has ended a key meeting of his cabinet. Three of his high position, on the other hand, would have indicated to the US that his military campaign against Iran was going to conclude.
On the ground, the situation remains far from calm. The Israeli army has issued two evacuation notices aimed at residents in areas of northern Tehran in less than two hours, one on Monday night and another in the early hours of Tuesday. In addition, the activation of alarms in the Golán highs has been informed, given the possible intrusion of hostile airplanes, which suggests that military operations have not yet been deactivated.
In fact, Donald Trump himself seems to refer to his message from Truth Social To the gap between diplomacy and military reality, when he pointed out that the high fire between Israel and would start after a transition phase in which “both countries will complete their ongoing missions.”
Twelve days of crossfire
On June 13, Israel bombed by surprise several facilities of the Iran nuclear program and other objectives related to its ballistic missiles. He did it without prior notice and without international support. That marked the beginning of what Trump has already baptized as “the 12 -day war.”
The Israeli offensive was increasing over the days. This Monday, Tel Aviv executed the largest wave of attacks ever seen against Tehran. It was not limited to military or nuclear objectives: it reached directly EVIN, the most emblematic prison of the regime, where oppositions, political prisoners and foreign citizens are locked. The images released by Iranian state television showed corpses and debris in the prison court. Bombarders against revolutionary guard and electrical stations were also reported that left broad areas of the capital without light.
Given the intensity of the attacks, an important part of the population of Tehran, about 10 million people, left the Iranian capital in search of security elsewhere. Tehran’s threats Block the Ormuz Strait They did not become realized, and the price of oil fell 7% in full volatility, which suggests that the market has not believed that there would be even more aggressive escalation.
The entrance of the United States into the war, last weekend, was a turning point. Washington launched Antibunker bombs of more than 13,600 kilos About Iranian nuclear centers, in what they will consider direct aggression. From that moment on, the regime intensified its rhetoric and threatened with more hard reprisals. “We will not accept that anyone attacks us. We will not submit to any aggression,” said the supreme leader, Ali Jamenei. “That is the logic of the Iranian nation.”
At the same time, the debate on the succession of Ayatollah, 86, was reactivated. Sources cited by Reuters They ensure that internal discussions have accelerated, and the names of the cleric mojtaba Jamenei or that of Hassan Jomeiní, grandson of the founder of the Islamic Republic, sound strongly in the halls of power. Trump, who during the weekend came to suggest a regime change, has now presented himself as a peace guarantor.
The agreed choreography is accurate: I will activate the high fire; Twelve hours later Israel does. And at 24 hours, “the world will officially greet the end of war,” in Trump’s words. There is no independent verification, nor observers, nor signed agreement. Only his word and his social network. For now, the bombs have stopped falling. But Middle East is still in suspense.
As a gesture of normalization, the authorities of Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait have announced the reopening of their air spaces after the end of the emergency situation caused by the Iranian attack. Doha has confirmed the resumption of air traffic “and the return to normal.” The same has done Kuwait and Bahrain, headquarters of the fifth fleet of the United States Navy and base of some 9,000 American military, who has raised the restrictions, as reported by its state agency.
(Tagstotranslate) USA